Arema FC vs Persik Kediri

18 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Arema FC

Persik Kediri

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.8% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 21.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.9% 1.86 DRAW 25.5% 3.80 AWAY 22.6% 4.28

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Arema FC

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Arema FC Persik Kediri

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 7.3 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Arema FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Arema FC Persik Kediri

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Arema FC Persik Kediri

The combined recent performance profile favours Arema FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Arema FC ↑ +0.19 (+11.4%)

Persik Kediri ↓ -0.32 (-7.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.