PSM Makassar vs Arema FC

13 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

PSM Makassar

Arema FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.6% DRAW 28.8% AWAY 33.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.4% 2.70 DRAW 28.9% 3.40 AWAY 34.7% 2.83

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

PSM Makassar has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

PSM Makassar Arema FC

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

PSM Makassar Arema FC

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

PSM Makassar Arema FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

PSM Makassar ↓ -0.21 (-7.2%)

Arema FC ↑ +0.29 (+11.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.