PSS Sleman vs Madura United

12 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

PSS Sleman

Madura United

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.3% DRAW 26.7% AWAY 37.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.4% 2.77 DRAW 27.0% 3.53 AWAY 38.7% 2.46

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Madura United

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

PSS Sleman Madura United

Shots 5.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 10.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Madura United, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

PSS Sleman Madura United

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.3

PSS Sleman has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

PSS Sleman Madura United

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

PSS Sleman ↓ -0.45 (-13.8%)

Madura United ↑ +0.37 (+17.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.