Garudayaksa vs Persik Kediri

11 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.2 pp

Garudayaksa

Persik Kediri

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.4% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 29.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.3% 2.20 DRAW 25.0% 3.81 AWAY 31.7% 3.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Garudayaksa relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 46.4% win probability, compared with 43.3% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Garudayaksa

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Garudayaksa Persik Kediri

Shots 5.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Garudayaksa Persik Kediri

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.8

Garudayaksa has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Garudayaksa Persik Kediri

The combined recent performance profile favours Garudayaksa.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Garudayaksa ↑ +0.04 (+1.9%)

Persik Kediri ↓ -0.50 (-14.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.