Bhayangkara FC vs Persebaya Surabaya

05 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Bhayangkara FC

Persebaya Surabaya

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.9% DRAW 27.2% AWAY 31.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.1% 2.40 DRAW 27.5% 3.50 AWAY 32.4% 2.97

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Bhayangkara FC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bhayangkara FC Persebaya Surabaya

Shots 11.8 · On target 5.5 Shots 13.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bhayangkara FC Persebaya Surabaya

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bhayangkara FC Persebaya Surabaya

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Bhayangkara FC ↓ -0.71 (-22.8%)

Persebaya Surabaya ↑ +0.78 (+35.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.