PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persita Tangerang

05 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

PSIM Yogyakarta

Persita Tangerang

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.7% DRAW 29.3% AWAY 24.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.6% 2.09 DRAW 29.3% 3.25 AWAY 25.1% 3.79

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: PSIM Yogyakarta

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

PSIM Yogyakarta Persita Tangerang

Shots 12.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 7.5 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours PSIM Yogyakarta, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

PSIM Yogyakarta Persita Tangerang

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Persita Tangerang has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

PSIM Yogyakarta Persita Tangerang

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

PSIM Yogyakarta ↑ +0.03 (+1.5%)

Persita Tangerang ↑ +0.07 (+1.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.