Bali United vs PSS Sleman

04 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Bali United

PSS Sleman

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.3% DRAW 25.8% AWAY 21.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.1% 1.80 DRAW 26.0% 3.60 AWAY 21.9% 4.29

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Bali United

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bali United PSS Sleman

Shots 13.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 1.8 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Bali United, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bali United PSS Sleman

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 1.5 · On target allowed 1.0

PSS Sleman has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bali United PSS Sleman

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Bali United ↓ -0.05 (-2.7%)

PSS Sleman ↑ +0.05 (+1.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.