Arema FC vs Adhyaksa Farmel FC

04 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Arema FC

Adhyaksa Farmel FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.0% DRAW 21.5% AWAY 14.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 62.4% 1.47 DRAW 22.4% 4.10 AWAY 15.3% 6.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Arema FC

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Arema FC Adhyaksa Farmel FC

Shots 6.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 2.5 · On target 0.3

Recent attacking output favours Arema FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Arema FC Adhyaksa Farmel FC

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 0.0

Adhyaksa Farmel FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Arema FC Adhyaksa Farmel FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Arema FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Arema FC ↓ -0.15 (-9.0%)

Adhyaksa Farmel FC ↑ +1.67 (+38.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.