Arenas vs Atletico Mancha Real

13 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

Arenas

Atletico Mancha Real

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.4% DRAW 28.7% AWAY 16.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.5% 1.72 DRAW 28.4% 3.30 AWAY 17.1% 5.47

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Atletico Mancha Real

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Arenas Atletico Mancha Real

Shots 4.0 · On target 1.3 Shots 5.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Atletico Mancha Real, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Arenas Atletico Mancha Real

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Arenas has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Arenas Atletico Mancha Real

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Arenas ↓ -0.08 (-4.4%)

Atletico Mancha Real ↑ +1.47 (+36.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.