FC Marbelli vs Ciudad Torredonjimeno

13 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

FC Marbelli

Ciudad Torredonjimeno

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.1% DRAW 31.2% AWAY 25.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.7% 2.11 DRAW 30.8% 3.00 AWAY 25.5% 3.62

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ciudad Torredonjimeno

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Marbelli Ciudad Torredonjimeno

Shots 0.8 · On target 0.3 Shots 2.8 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours Ciudad Torredonjimeno, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Marbelli Ciudad Torredonjimeno

Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 0.3 Shots allowed 1.8 · On target allowed 1.5

FC Marbelli has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Marbelli Ciudad Torredonjimeno

The combined recent performance profile favours Ciudad Torredonjimeno.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FC Marbelli ↑ +0.02 (+1.0%)

Ciudad Torredonjimeno ↓ -0.33 (-8.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.