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Spain Tercera Group 9 · ES

Motril vs Almeria B

08 Nov 2026 · 17:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a substantial model-market difference for a home win for Motril. The model and market assessments differ considerably on this outcome.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 2.45 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.10. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for a home win for Motril, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Motril
STOCHASTICBET 47.6%
BET365 36.7% odd 2.45
DIFFERENCE +10.9 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 29.3%
BET365 30.0% odd 3.00
DIFFERENCE -0.6 pp
AWAY
Almeria B
STOCHASTICBET 23.1%
BET365 33.3% odd 2.70
DIFFERENCE -10.2 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 05:21
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Motril has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Motril Almeria B
Shots 18.5 · On target 9.0 Shots 7.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Motril, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Motril Almeria B
Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.0

Motril has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Motril Almeria B

The combined recent performance profile favours Motril.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.