At. Bembibre vs Mirandes B

13 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.6 pp

At. Bembibre

Mirandes B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.2% DRAW 27.3% AWAY 42.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.3% 2.71 DRAW 27.8% 3.25 AWAY 38.9% 2.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Mirandes B relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 42.5% win probability, compared with 38.9% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Mirandes B has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

At. Bembibre Mirandes B

Shots 7.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 15.0 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Mirandes B, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

At. Bembibre Mirandes B

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Mirandes B has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

At. Bembibre Mirandes B

The combined recent performance profile favours Mirandes B.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

At. Bembibre ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

Mirandes B ↓ -0.03 (-1.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.