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Spain Tercera Group 8 · ES

Burgos Promesas vs Turegano CF

08 Nov 2026 · 11:45
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for Burgos Promesas. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.36 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.41. At this price, a home win for Burgos Promesas does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Burgos Promesas
STOCHASTICBET 70.7%
BET365 65.8% odd 1.36
DIFFERENCE +4.9 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 19.4%
BET365 21.4% odd 4.20
DIFFERENCE -2.0 pp
AWAY
Turegano CF
STOCHASTICBET 9.9%
BET365 12.8% odd 7.00
DIFFERENCE -2.9 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 07:51
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Burgos Promesas has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Burgos Promesas Turegano CF
Shots 14.8 · On target 7.5 Shots 9.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Burgos Promesas, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Burgos Promesas Turegano CF
Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.5

Burgos Promesas has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Burgos Promesas Turegano CF

The combined recent performance profile favours Burgos Promesas.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-08 10:33:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.