Fuenlabrada vs CD Mostoles URJC

13 Sep 2026 · 11:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Fuenlabrada

CD Mostoles URJC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.7% DRAW 29.7% AWAY 29.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.0% 2.17 DRAW 29.4% 3.10 AWAY 28.5% 3.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Mostoles URJC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fuenlabrada CD Mostoles URJC

Shots 5.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours CD Mostoles URJC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fuenlabrada CD Mostoles URJC

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fuenlabrada CD Mostoles URJC

The combined recent performance profile favours CD Mostoles URJC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Fuenlabrada ↑ +0.07 (+3.3%)

CD Mostoles URJC ↑ +0.10 (+3.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.