UE San Juan Montcada vs UE Vilassar de Mar

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

UE San Juan Montcada

UE Vilassar de Mar

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.3% DRAW 27.4% AWAY 40.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.3% 2.99 DRAW 27.5% 3.40 AWAY 41.2% 2.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: UE Vilassar de Mar

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

UE San Juan Montcada UE Vilassar de Mar

Shots 6.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 10.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours UE Vilassar de Mar, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

UE San Juan Montcada UE Vilassar de Mar

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 2.3

UE San Juan Montcada has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

UE San Juan Montcada UE Vilassar de Mar

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

UE San Juan Montcada ↓ -1.05 (-26.0%)

UE Vilassar de Mar ↑ +0.45 (+24.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.