CD San Roque de Lepe vs AD Ceuta FC B

06 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

CD San Roque de Lepe

AD Ceuta FC B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.8% DRAW 30.7% AWAY 27.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.0% 2.37 DRAW 30.6% 3.10 AWAY 29.4% 3.22

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD San Roque de Lepe

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD San Roque de Lepe AD Ceuta FC B

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 1.3 · On target 0.3

Recent attacking output favours CD San Roque de Lepe, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD San Roque de Lepe AD Ceuta FC B

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 2.0

AD Ceuta FC B has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD San Roque de Lepe AD Ceuta FC B

The combined recent performance profile favours CD San Roque de Lepe.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CD San Roque de Lepe ↓ -0.12 (-4.8%)

AD Ceuta FC B ↑ +0.52 (+19.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.