RB Linense vs UD Tomares

13 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

RB Linense

UD Tomares

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.6% DRAW 27.2% AWAY 15.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.9% 1.64 DRAW 26.2% 3.75 AWAY 13.9% 7.06

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: UD Tomares

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

RB Linense UD Tomares

Shots 11.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 10.8 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours UD Tomares, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

RB Linense UD Tomares

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 1.8

UD Tomares has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

RB Linense UD Tomares

The combined recent performance profile favours UD Tomares.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

RB Linense ↓ -0.03 (-1.8%)

UD Tomares ↑ +2.22 (+45.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.