UC Ceares vs CD Colunga

20 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

UC Ceares

CD Colunga

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.3% DRAW 28.7% AWAY 26.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.0% 2.07 DRAW 28.7% 3.25 AWAY 26.3% 3.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Colunga

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

UC Ceares CD Colunga

Shots 3.5 · On target 1.5 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours CD Colunga, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

UC Ceares CD Colunga

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 8.3

UC Ceares has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

UC Ceares CD Colunga

The combined recent performance profile favours CD Colunga.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

UC Ceares ↑ +0.12 (+6.0%)

CD Colunga ↓ -0.10 (-2.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.