Mensajero vs Tenerife C

13 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.5 pp

Mensajero

Tenerife C

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.0% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 13.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.6% 1.52 DRAW 24.7% 3.73 AWAY 14.7% 6.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Tenerife C

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mensajero Tenerife C

Shots 2.3 · On target 0.5 Shots 6.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Tenerife C, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mensajero Tenerife C

Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 6.0

Mensajero has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mensajero Tenerife C

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Mensajero ↑ +0.02 (+1.3%)

Tenerife C ↑ +0.23 (+3.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.