CD Marino vs Panaderia Pulido

13 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

CD Marino

Panaderia Pulido

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.2% DRAW 29.7% AWAY 36.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.0% 2.63 DRAW 29.6% 3.20 AWAY 34.4% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Marino

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Marino Panaderia Pulido

Shots 7.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 4.5 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours CD Marino, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Marino Panaderia Pulido

Shots allowed 18.0 · On target allowed 7.8 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Panaderia Pulido has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Marino Panaderia Pulido

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

CD Marino ↑ +0.24 (+10.0%)

Panaderia Pulido ↓ -0.20 (-6.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.