Bala Azul vs Mazarron

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Bala Azul

Mazarron

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.1% DRAW 30.7% AWAY 35.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.2% 2.84 DRAW 30.5% 3.10 AWAY 36.3% 2.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Mazarron

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bala Azul Mazarron

Shots 4.3 · On target 2.0 Shots 5.3 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Mazarron, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bala Azul Mazarron

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Bala Azul has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bala Azul Mazarron

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Bala Azul ↑ +0.01 (+0.3%)

Mazarron ↑ +0.25 (+10.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.