Atletico Santa Cruz vs Aguilas B

26 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Atletico Santa Cruz

Aguilas B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.4% DRAW 29.6% AWAY 24.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.8% 2.07 DRAW 29.4% 3.30 AWAY 23.9% 4.06

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Aguilas B

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atletico Santa Cruz Aguilas B

Shots 7.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 8.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atletico Santa Cruz Aguilas B

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atletico Santa Cruz Aguilas B

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Atletico Santa Cruz ↑ +0.02 (+1.0%)

Aguilas B ↑ +0.86 (+26.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.