Atletico Santa Cruz vs Olimpico Totana

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Atletico Santa Cruz

Olimpico Totana

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.7% DRAW 34.9% AWAY 27.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.1% 2.60 DRAW 33.9% 3.00 AWAY 27.1% 3.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Olimpico Totana has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atletico Santa Cruz Olimpico Totana

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atletico Santa Cruz Olimpico Totana

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Olimpico Totana has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atletico Santa Cruz Olimpico Totana

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Atletico Santa Cruz ↓ -0.92 (-26.1%)

Olimpico Totana ↑ +1.55 (+70.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.