SFC Minerva vs FC Cartagena B

13 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

SFC Minerva

FC Cartagena B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.8% DRAW 30.8% AWAY 32.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.5% 2.75 DRAW 30.5% 3.20 AWAY 33.9% 2.88

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Cartagena B

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

SFC Minerva FC Cartagena B

Shots 6.8 · On target 2.3 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours FC Cartagena B, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SFC Minerva FC Cartagena B

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 6.0

SFC Minerva has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SFC Minerva FC Cartagena B

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

SFC Minerva ↓ -0.05 (-1.8%)

FC Cartagena B ↑ +0.28 (+10.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.