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Spain Tercera Group 13 · ES

Santomera vs Mazarron

08 Nov 2026 · 16:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for Santomera. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.63 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.64. At this price, a home win for Santomera does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Santomera
STOCHASTICBET 60.8%
PINNACLE 56.0% odd 1.63
DIFFERENCE +4.9 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 22.4%
PINNACLE 23.6% odd 3.85
DIFFERENCE -1.2 pp
AWAY
Mazarron
STOCHASTICBET 16.8%
PINNACLE 20.4% odd 4.46
DIFFERENCE -3.6 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 12:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Santomera has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Santomera Mazarron
Shots 10.3 · On target 6.5 Shots 6.3 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Santomera, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Santomera Mazarron
Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 6.8

Santomera has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Santomera Mazarron

The combined recent performance profile favours Santomera.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.