UCAM Murcia CF B vs Deportivo Maritimo

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

UCAM Murcia CF B

Deportivo Maritimo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.6% DRAW 28.5% AWAY 22.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.7% 1.95 DRAW 28.2% 3.43 AWAY 22.1% 4.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Deportivo Maritimo

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

UCAM Murcia CF B Deportivo Maritimo

Shots 10.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 11.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

UCAM Murcia CF B Deportivo Maritimo

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Deportivo Maritimo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

UCAM Murcia CF B Deportivo Maritimo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

UCAM Murcia CF B = (0.0%)

Deportivo Maritimo ↑ +0.98 (+28.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.