UE Porreres vs Inter Ibiza

20 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

UE Porreres

Inter Ibiza

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.4% DRAW 22.6% AWAY 15.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 62.6% 1.50 DRAW 22.8% 4.10 AWAY 14.6% 6.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: UE Porreres

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

UE Porreres Inter Ibiza

Shots 6.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 3.0 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours UE Porreres, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

UE Porreres Inter Ibiza

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Inter Ibiza has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

UE Porreres Inter Ibiza

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

UE Porreres ↓ -0.27 (-15.4%)

Inter Ibiza ↑ +1.92 (+42.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.