CD Algar vs Bullas Deportivo

13 Sep 2026 · 11:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

CD Algar

Bullas Deportivo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.5% DRAW 31.9% AWAY 36.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.0% 3.04 DRAW 31.4% 3.00 AWAY 37.7% 2.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Algar

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Algar Bullas Deportivo

Shots 6.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 4.8 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours CD Algar, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Algar Bullas Deportivo

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Algar Bullas Deportivo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

CD Algar ↑ +0.44 (+16.9%)

Bullas Deportivo = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.