Union Molinense CF vs AD Mar Menor San Javier

13 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Union Molinense CF

AD Mar Menor San Javier

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.0% DRAW 26.8% AWAY 22.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.8% 1.75 DRAW 26.9% 3.30 AWAY 22.2% 4.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Union Molinense CF

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Union Molinense CF AD Mar Menor San Javier

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 2.0 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Union Molinense CF, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Union Molinense CF AD Mar Menor San Javier

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 2.0

AD Mar Menor San Javier has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Union Molinense CF AD Mar Menor San Javier

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Union Molinense CF ↓ -0.05 (-2.8%)

AD Mar Menor San Javier ↓ -0.55 (-12.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.