AC Chievo Verona vs ASD Calcio Pavonese

05 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

AC Chievo Verona

ASD Calcio Pavonese

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.2% DRAW 17.6% AWAY 12.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 71.1% 1.32 DRAW 17.9% 5.25 AWAY 11.0% 8.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: AC Chievo Verona

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

AC Chievo Verona ASD Calcio Pavonese

Shots 8.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 3.0 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours AC Chievo Verona, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AC Chievo Verona ASD Calcio Pavonese

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 0.8

ASD Calcio Pavonese has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AC Chievo Verona ASD Calcio Pavonese

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

AC Chievo Verona ↓ -0.18 (-12.0%)

ASD Calcio Pavonese ↑ +3.50 (+70.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.