AC Chievo Verona vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo

21 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

AC Chievo Verona

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.3% DRAW 25.1% AWAY 16.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.7% 1.63 DRAW 25.7% 3.60 AWAY 17.6% 5.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: AC Chievo Verona

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

AC Chievo Verona Virtus Ciserano Bergamo

Shots 11.8 · On target 5.5 Shots 5.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours AC Chievo Verona, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AC Chievo Verona Virtus Ciserano Bergamo

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AC Chievo Verona Virtus Ciserano Bergamo

The combined recent performance profile favours AC Chievo Verona.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

AC Chievo Verona ↓ -0.09 (-5.4%)

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo ↑ +0.34 (+6.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.