ASD Brusaporto vs US Fiorenzuola

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

ASD Brusaporto

US Fiorenzuola

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.2% DRAW 26.6% AWAY 23.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.2% 1.81 DRAW 26.7% 3.40 AWAY 23.0% 3.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: ASD Brusaporto

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

ASD Brusaporto US Fiorenzuola

Shots 12.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 7.5 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours ASD Brusaporto, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ASD Brusaporto US Fiorenzuola

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.5

US Fiorenzuola has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ASD Brusaporto US Fiorenzuola

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

ASD Brusaporto ↑ +0.01 (+0.6%)

US Fiorenzuola ↑ +0.15 (+3.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.