ASD Villa D'Alme vs AC Milan U23

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

ASD Villa D'Alme

AC Milan U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.1% DRAW 28.6% AWAY 37.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.5% 2.77 DRAW 28.6% 3.24 AWAY 37.9% 2.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: AC Milan U23

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

ASD Villa D'Alme AC Milan U23

Shots 8.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 16.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours AC Milan U23, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ASD Villa D'Alme AC Milan U23

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.5

ASD Villa D'Alme has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ASD Villa D'Alme AC Milan U23

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

ASD Villa D'Alme ↑ +0.40 (+16.6%)

AC Milan U23 ↓ -0.15 (-5.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.