Piacenza vs Real Calepina FC

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Piacenza

Real Calepina FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.2% DRAW 24.9% AWAY 14.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.8% 1.58 DRAW 25.7% 3.62 AWAY 15.5% 6.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Piacenza has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Piacenza Real Calepina FC

Shots 13.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Piacenza, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Piacenza Real Calepina FC

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Piacenza has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Piacenza Real Calepina FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Piacenza.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Piacenza ↓ -0.25 (-13.8%)

Real Calepina FC ↑ +2.40 (+66.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.