Oltrepò vs Tropical Coriano

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Oltrepò

Tropical Coriano

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.6% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 19.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.7% 1.73 DRAW 26.8% 3.40 AWAY 20.5% 4.46

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Tropical Coriano

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Oltrepò Tropical Coriano

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Oltrepò Tropical Coriano

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.8

Oltrepò has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Oltrepò Tropical Coriano

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Oltrepò ↑ +0.00 (+0.2%)

Tropical Coriano ↑ +0.26 (+6.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.