Lentigione vs Cittadella Vis Modena

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Lentigione

Cittadella Vis Modena

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.1% DRAW 27.8% AWAY 27.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.8% 1.97 DRAW 27.8% 3.25 AWAY 26.4% 3.43

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Lentigione

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lentigione Cittadella Vis Modena

Shots 9.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 9.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lentigione Cittadella Vis Modena

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 1.5

Cittadella Vis Modena has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lentigione Cittadella Vis Modena

The combined recent performance profile favours Cittadella Vis Modena.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Lentigione ↑ +0.09 (+4.9%)

Cittadella Vis Modena ↓ -0.53 (-13.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.