Termoli vs Vigor Senigallia

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Termoli

Vigor Senigallia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.1% DRAW 28.9% AWAY 35.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.2% 2.70 DRAW 28.9% 3.20 AWAY 36.9% 2.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Vigor Senigallia

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Termoli Vigor Senigallia

Shots 5.0 · On target 1.8 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Vigor Senigallia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Termoli Vigor Senigallia

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 5.8

Termoli has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Termoli Vigor Senigallia

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Termoli = (0.0%)

Vigor Senigallia = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.