Recanatese vs ASD K-Sport Montecchio

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Recanatese

ASD K-Sport Montecchio

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.2% DRAW 27.1% AWAY 27.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.2% 2.10 DRAW 27.5% 3.30 AWAY 29.3% 3.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: ASD K-Sport Montecchio

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Recanatese ASD K-Sport Montecchio

Shots 7.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 9.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Recanatese ASD K-Sport Montecchio

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Recanatese has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Recanatese ASD K-Sport Montecchio

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Recanatese ↓ -0.20 (-8.7%)

ASD K-Sport Montecchio ↑ +0.40 (+14.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.