Solbiatese Calcio 1911 vs USD Casatese

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Solbiatese Calcio 1911

USD Casatese

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.8% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 48.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 26.0% 3.50 DRAW 27.3% 3.34 AWAY 46.7% 1.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

USD Casatese has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Solbiatese Calcio 1911 USD Casatese

Shots 9.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 13.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours USD Casatese, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Solbiatese Calcio 1911 USD Casatese

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.5

USD Casatese has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Solbiatese Calcio 1911 USD Casatese

The combined recent performance profile favours USD Casatese.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Solbiatese Calcio 1911 = (0.0%)

USD Casatese ↓ -0.01 (-0.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.