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England Premier League 2 · GB

Birmingham U21 vs Derby U21

19 Oct 2026 · 20:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

The Home Side’s Recent Results

The home side have lost their last 2 matches.

For the visitors, accuracy was higher in the latest two complete-data matches (60.0% versus 41.3% in the earlier complete-data matches); for the visitors, finishing was lower in the latest two complete-data matches (22.2% versus 34.6% in the earlier complete-data matches).

Across 6 matches with complete shooting data, the home side averaged 12.7 shots per match and conceded 12 goals in that sample. Across 6 such matches, the visitors averaged 15.5 shots per match and conceded 18 goals.

In recent matches with recorded scores, the home side averaged 1.50 goals per match, against a weighted league reference of 1.82. The visitors averaged 2.17 goals per match, against their weighted league reference of 1.82.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Derby U21

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Birmingham U21 Derby U21
Shots 11.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 14.8 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours Derby U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Birmingham U21 Derby U21
Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 7.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Birmingham U21 Derby U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: England Premier League 2 · 83 matches with scores · 69 with shots · coverage 83.1%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Birmingham U216 matches · 2 home / 4 away
LLDWLD
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Derby U216 matches · 2 home / 4 away
DLLLWD
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Birmingham U21Home team
+0.212.7 actual
Derby U21Away team
+3.115.5 actual
Birmingham U21: 12.7 · league average 12.4 · 6 valid matchesDerby U21: 15.5 · league average 12.4 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Birmingham U21Home team
+1.214.5 actual
Derby U21Away team
+0.113.3 actual
Birmingham U21: 14.5 · league average 13.3 · 6 valid matchesDerby U21: 13.3 · league average 13.3 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Birmingham U21Home team
−1.44.0 actual
Derby U21Away team
+2.07.3 actual
Birmingham U21: 4.0 · league average 5.4 · 6 valid matchesDerby U21: 7.3 · league average 5.4 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Birmingham U21Home team
+1.06.8 actual
Derby U21Away team
+1.06.8 actual
Birmingham U21: 6.8 · league average 5.9 · 6 valid matchesDerby U21: 6.8 · league average 5.9 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Birmingham U21Home team
−0.321.50 actual
Derby U21Away team
+0.352.17 actual
Birmingham U21: 1.50 · league average 1.82 · 6 valid matchesDerby U21: 2.17 · league average 1.82 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Birmingham U21Home team
−2.6 pp11.8% actual
Derby U21Away team
−0.4 pp14.0% actual
Birmingham U21: 11.8% · league average 14.4% · 6 valid matchesDerby U21: 14.0% · league average 14.4% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Birmingham U21Home team
−1.1 pp13.8% actual
Derby U21Away team
+7.6 pp22.5% actual
Birmingham U21: 13.8% · league average 14.9% · 6 valid matchesDerby U21: 22.5% · league average 14.9% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Birmingham U21 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
13/10/2026Away0–32 / 120 / 3
09/10/2026Home2–414 / 114 / 7
18/09/2026Home0–010 / 161 / 8
15/09/2026Away4–020 / 149 / 8
11/09/2026Away2–415 / 208 / 9
08/09/2026Away1–115 / 142 / 6
Derby U21 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
13/10/2026Away2–213 / 169 / 9
10/10/2026Away2–417 / 119 / 7
18/09/2026Away1–414 / 165 / 8
11/09/2026Home1–315 / 126 / 7
08/09/2026Away3–114 / 55 / 2
31/08/2026Home4–420 / 2010 / 8

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.