West Ham U21 vs Liverpool U21

14 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

West Ham U21

Liverpool U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.5% DRAW 22.0% AWAY 36.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.0% 2.36 DRAW 23.0% 4.00 AWAY 37.9% 2.43

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Liverpool U21

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

West Ham U21 Liverpool U21

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 13.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

West Ham U21 Liverpool U21

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 7.3

West Ham U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

West Ham U21 Liverpool U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

West Ham U21 ↑ +0.21 (+9.8%)

Liverpool U21 ↓ -0.07 (-2.8%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.