Nottm Forest U21 vs Burnley U21

14 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Nottm Forest U21

Burnley U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.8% DRAW 19.2% AWAY 21.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.9% 1.60 DRAW 20.3% 4.65 AWAY 20.8% 4.54

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Burnley U21

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nottm Forest U21 Burnley U21

Shots 10.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Burnley U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nottm Forest U21 Burnley U21

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 6.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nottm Forest U21 Burnley U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Nottm Forest U21 = (0.0%)

Burnley U21 ↑ +0.54 (+13.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.