Middlesbrough U21 vs Leeds U21

13 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.7 pp

Middlesbrough U21

Leeds U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.3% DRAW 20.2% AWAY 24.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.6% 1.88 DRAW 21.9% 4.35 AWAY 27.5% 3.46

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Middlesbrough U21 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 55.3% win probability, compared with 50.6% implied by the market. The 4.7 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Middlesbrough U21

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Middlesbrough U21 Leeds U21

Shots 15.5 · On target 7.3 Shots 6.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Middlesbrough U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Middlesbrough U21 Leeds U21

Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 6.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Middlesbrough U21 Leeds U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Middlesbrough U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Middlesbrough U21 ↓ -0.03 (-1.5%)

Leeds U21 ↑ +0.10 (+3.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.