Man City U21 vs Man Utd U21

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Man City U21

Man Utd U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.6% DRAW 19.6% AWAY 27.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.0% 1.79 DRAW 20.8% 4.48 AWAY 27.2% 3.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Man City U21

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Man City U21 Man Utd U21

Shots 18.5 · On target 9.3 Shots 15.0 · On target 8.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Man City U21 Man Utd U21

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Man Utd U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Man City U21 Man Utd U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Man City U21 ↑ +0.01 (+0.7%)

Man Utd U21 ↓ -0.06 (-1.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.