ES Zarzis vs Diambars FC

04 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

ES Zarzis

Diambars FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.2% DRAW 25.2% AWAY 12.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 65.4% 1.45 DRAW 23.7% 4.00 AWAY 10.8% 8.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Diambars FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

ES Zarzis Diambars FC

Shots 11.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 10.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ES Zarzis Diambars FC

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 2.0

Diambars FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ES Zarzis Diambars FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Diambars FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

ES Zarzis ↓ -0.12 (-7.7%)

Diambars FC ↑ +3.25 (+59.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.