Gremio vs Internacional

04 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Gremio

Internacional

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.4% DRAW 32.9% AWAY 36.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.4% 2.91 DRAW 32.4% 3.00 AWAY 34.3% 2.83

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Internacional has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gremio Internacional

Shots 10.0 · On target 2.5 Shots 11.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gremio Internacional

Shots allowed 19.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Internacional has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gremio Internacional

The combined recent performance profile favours Internacional.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Gremio ↓ -0.20 (-7.3%)

Internacional ↑ +0.02 (+0.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.