Gillingham vs Cambridge Utd

22 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Gillingham

Cambridge Utd

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.6% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 36.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.4% 2.61 DRAW 26.4% 3.60 AWAY 37.2% 2.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Gillingham

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gillingham Cambridge Utd

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 9.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gillingham Cambridge Utd

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gillingham Cambridge Utd

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Gillingham ↓ -0.19 (-6.8%)

Cambridge Utd ↑ +0.05 (+2.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.