Plymouth vs Crystal Palace U21

22 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Plymouth

Crystal Palace U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 72.9% DRAW 15.2% AWAY 11.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 72.7% 1.32 DRAW 16.0% 6.00 AWAY 11.3% 8.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Plymouth Crystal Palace U21

Shots 13.5 · On target 6.0 Shots 13.0 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Plymouth Crystal Palace U21

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Plymouth has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Plymouth Crystal Palace U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Plymouth ↓ -0.08 (-5.7%)

Crystal Palace U21 ↑ +0.65 (+8.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.