Walsall vs Stevenage

22 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Walsall

Stevenage

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.0% DRAW 28.5% AWAY 36.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.5% 2.80 DRAW 28.5% 3.29 AWAY 38.0% 2.47

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Walsall

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Walsall Stevenage

Shots 15.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 10.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Walsall, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Walsall Stevenage

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 1.5

Stevenage has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Walsall Stevenage

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Walsall ↓ -0.70 (-20.0%)

Stevenage ↑ +0.10 (+4.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.