Leicester vs Fulham U21

22 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Leicester

Fulham U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 78.4% DRAW 13.5% AWAY 8.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 77.8% 1.24 DRAW 14.3% 6.75 AWAY 7.9% 12.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Leicester

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Leicester Fulham U21

Shots 15.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 12.0 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Leicester Fulham U21

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Leicester Fulham U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Leicester ↑ +0.02 (+1.5%)

Fulham U21 ↓ -1.10 (-8.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.